suchbalance wrote:Both events can occur and they are mutually independent, so P(L10 U L1) = 0.25 + 0.1 - 0.25*0.1 = 32.5%. This is the probability that on every strike you get a lvl1 arrow or a lvl 10 arrow or two arrows.
This is correct
suchbalance wrote:Now if instead the bow also had a lvl1 arrow proc the probability of getting a projectile would be 35%.
This is also correct.
What is wrong is the assumption that probability of events = number of projectiles. The first event is less likely, but sometimes two projectiles are spawned. The second event is more likely, but it can at most spawn one projectile.
Exactly what Obama said here
Barack Obama wrote:However that is not equal to the (average) number of arrow procs in 100 strikes, because the intersection of events (that is, both procs go off of one strike) should count double.
So, long story short, the events have different probabilities but the average number of projectiles spawned is the same, so it's better to equip the maximum possibile CtC rather than trying to match the type and level of projectiles.
Edit: Oh and by the way, your guides are incredibly good in every possible way.